Jonathan Vogel

Curriculum Vitae

Professor, Economics Department, UCLA

Working Papers

 

The Labor Supply Curve is Upward Sloping: The Labor Market Effects of Immigrant-Induced Demand Shocks” with Sigurd Galaasen, Andreas Kostol, and Joan Monras, May 2025 (first version March 2025)

Presentation slides (May 2025)

 

Capital-Skill Complementarity in Firms and in the Aggregate Economy” with Giuseppe Berlingieri, Filippo Boeri, and Danial Lashkari, 2024, Revise and Resubmit at The Journal of Political Economy

Presentation slides (November 2022)

 

The Local Scarring Effect of Negative Trade Shocks: Evidence from the Collapse of Finnish-Soviet Trade” with Arnaud Costinot and Matti Sarvimaki, 2024

 

Exposure(s) to Trade and Earnings Dynamics with Arnaud Costinot and Matti Sarvimaki, 2022

Presentation slides (June 2022)

 

Discrimination and Racial Disparities in Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from WWII”  with Anna Aizer, Ryan Boone, and Adriana Lleras-Muney, 2022

 

Trade and Welfare (Across Local Labor Markets) with Ryan Kim, 2020

 

Published and Forthcoming Papers

(Published versions have been posted with permission of the journals where they appeared. Standard copyrights rules apply. Download and print for personal use only.)

 

The Race Between Education, Technology, and the Minimum Wage” 2025, accepted at the Quarterly Journal of Economics

This paper supersedes and expands the paper ``The Race Between Education, Technology, and Institutions."

Presentation slides (September 2024)

Online appendix

 

Cross-border shopping: evidence and welfare implications for Switzerland” with Ariel Burstein and Sarah Lein, 2024, accepted at the Journal of International Economics

 

Unequal Expenditure Switching: Evidence from Switzerland with Raphael Auer, Ariel Burstein, and Sarah Lein, Review of Economic Studies, 2024, Vol. 91, Issue 5: 2572-2603.

 

Trade shocks and labor market adjustment with Ryan Kim, American Economic Review: Insights, 2021, Vol. 3, No. 1: 115-130.

Teaching presentation slides (a mix of empirics + condensed paper)

 

Tradability and the Labor-Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence from the U.S. with Ariel Burstein, Gordon Hanson, and Lin Tian, Econometrica, 2020, Vol. 88, Issue 3: 1071-1112.

 

Changes in between-group inequality: computers, occupations, and international trade

with Ariel Burstein and Eduardo Morales, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019, Vol. 11, No. 2: 348-400.

 

International Trade, Technology, and the Skill Premium

with Ariel Burstein, Journal of Political Economy, 2017, Vol. 125, No. 5: 1356-1412.

Presentation slides

 

Comparative Advantage and Optimal Trade Policy with Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, and Iván Werning, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2015, Vol. 130, Issue 2: 659-702.

Presentation slides

 

Beyond Ricardo: Assignment Models in International Trade with Arnaud Costinot (Online Appendix), Annual Review of Economics, 2015, Vol. 7: 31-62.

 

Importing Skill-Biased Technology” with Ariel Burstein and Javier Cravino

(Online Addendum), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2013, Vol. 5, No. 2: 32-71.

Presentation slides

 

An Elementary Theory of Global Supply Chains with Arnaud Costinot and Su Wang

(Online Addendum), Review of Economic Studies, 2013, Vol. 80, Issue 1: 109-144.

Presentation slides

 

Global Supply Chains and Wage Inequality

with Arnaud Costinot and Su Wang, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 2012, Vol. 102, No. 3: 396-401.

Presentation slides

 

Spatial Price Discrimination with Heterogeneous Firms 

Journal of Industrial Economics, 2011, Vol. 59, No. 4: 661-676.

 

Matching and Inequality in the World Economy

with Arnaud Costinot, Journal of Political Economy, 2010, Vol. 118, No. 4: 747-786.

Presentation slides

 

Spatial Competition with Heterogeneous FirmsJournal of Political Economy, 2008, Vol. 116, No. 3: 423-466.

Presentation slides

Erratum

 

Institutions and Moral Hazard in Open Economies Journal of International Economics, 2007, Vol. 71, No. 2: 495-514.