| Till Marco von Wachter
Professor of Economics
Faculty Director
Director of Federal Statistical Research Data Center (RDC)
Email: tvwachter@econ.ucla.edu UCLA Mailing Address
Contact Information:
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CVCurriculum Vitae [PDF Format] (UPDATED June 2026)AI and the Labor MarketAI TRACKER California Policy Lab's AI Unemployment TrackerJUST RELEASED Tracking the Impact of AI on Job loss Using Administrative Data (joint with Ben Hyman, Diana Herrera, Swapnil Motghare, Jacob Morris, Kara Segal) Professional UpdatesExecutive Board Elected to Executive Board of Society of Labor Economics, 2024Fellow Elected Fellow of Society of Labor Economics, 2025 Fellow Appointed IAB Research Fellow, 2024 Fellow Appointed Research Fellow of the Rockwool Foundation Berlin, 2025 New PapersNEW VERSION 2026 Socioeconomic Decline and Death: The Life-Cycle Impacts of Recessions for Labor Market Entrants(joint with Hannes Schwandt, Revise and Resubmit, Review of Economic Studies) NEW VERSION 2026 Shareholder Power and the Decline of Labor (joint with Antonio Falato and Hyunseob Kim, Submitted) COMING SOON "The Labor Market Impact of Shareholder Power: Worker-Level Evidence" (joint with Antonio Falato and Hyunseob Kim) Upcoming ResearchRandomized Controlled Trial 2026-2027 "Short-Time Compensation: Employer Outreach and Labor Market Outcomes"(joint with Swapnil Motghare, Kara Segal, Eric Wilson) Randomized Controlled Trial 2026-2027 "Reemployment Services and Eligibility Assessment (RESEA) program: Employment Effects of Case Worker Intensity" (joint with Ben Hyman, Swapnil Motghare, Kara Segal) Randomized Controlled Trial 2024-2026 "Randomized Evaluation of Los Angeles Homelessness Prevention Unit" (joint with Brian Blackwell, Colin Caprara, Janey Rountree) Unemployment Insurance Policy Research (California Policy Lab)10 Highlights Increasing Equity and Improving Measurement in the U.S. Unemployment SystemUI & Inventors Inventors and Unemployment Insurance: Understanding the Safety Net for Innovators (joint with Alex Bell, Sreeraahul Kancherla, Roozbeh Moghadam, Swapnil Motghare) UI & Wildfires Unemployment Insurance Claims After the LA Wildfires (joint with Paul Lapinski, Peter Mannino, Roozbeh Moghadam, Jacob Morris) PublicationsWage Structure: Inequality, Working Conditions, Minimum WagesMinimum Wages & Monopsony "Minimum Wage Employment Effects and Labor Market Concentration"(Review of Economic Studies, joint with Jose' Azar, Emiliano Huet-Vaughn, Ioana Marinescu, and Bledi Taska, 2023) Inequality & Working Conditions "The Value of Working Conditions in the United States and Implications for the Structure of Wages" (American Economic Review, joint with Nicole Maestas, Kathleen Mullen, David Powell, Jeff Wenger, 2023) Firms & Inequality "Firming Up Inequality" (Quarterly Journal of Economics, joint with Jae Song, David Price, Fatih Guvenen, Nick Bloom, NBER Working Paper No. 21119, 2019) 2017 Working Conditions Report & Survey "Working Conditions in the United States: Results of the 2015 American Working Conditions Survey" (joint with Nicole Maestas, Kathleen J. Mullen, David Powell, Jeffrey B. Wenger, RAND Research Report August 2017) More Information Webpage of American Working Conditions Survey Unemployment and Unemployment InsuranceUnemployment Insurance Over the Cycle Unemployment Insurance Benefit Generosity and Labor Supply from 2002 to 2020: Evidence from California UI Records(Journal of Labor Economics, joint with Alex Bell, TJ Hedin, and Geoff Schnorr, 2023) UI Reform Unemployment Insurance Reform (The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Vol 686, Issue 1, 2019, November) Audit Study "Whom Do Employers Want? The Role of Recent Employment and Unemployment Status and Age" (Journal of Labor Economics, Henry S. Farber, Chris M. Herbst, and Daniel Silverman, NBER Working Paper 24605, 2018) Unemployment Insurance "A Context-robust Measure of the disincentive cost of Unemployment Insurance" (American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, joint with Johannes Schmieder, May 2017) Unemployment Insurance "The Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefits: New Evidence and Interpretation" (Annual Review of Economics, joint with Johannes Schmieder, October 2016) Additional Results in Web Appendix Unemployment Insurance "The Effect of Unemployment Insurance and Nonemployment Duration on Wages" (American Economic Review, joint with Johannes Schmieder and Stefan Bender, NBER Working Paper No. 19772, 2013.) Additional Results in Web Appendix Audit Study "Factors Determining Callbacks to Job Applications by the Unemployed: An Audit Study" (RSF Journal of the Social Sciences, Special Issue "Social and Economic Effects of the Great Recession, joint with Henry Farber and Daniel Silverman.) "The Effects of Extended Unemployment Insurance Over the Business Cycle: Regression Discontinuity Estimates Estimates over 20 years" (Quarterly Journal of Economics, joint with Johannes Schmieder and Stefan Bender, 2012.) Additional Results in Web Appendix Job DisplacementJob Displacement "The Costs of Job Displacement over the Business Cycle and Its Sources: Evidence from Germany"(American Economic Review, joint with Johannes Schmieder and Joerg Heining, 2023) Additional Results in Web Appendix Nonemployment Trends "Long-Term Nonemployment and Job Displacement" (A Symposium Sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, Wyo., joint with Jae Song, August 2014) "Recessions and the Costs of Job Loss" (Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, joint with Steve Davis, 2012) "The Long-Term Effects of UI Extensions on Employment" (American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, joint with Johannes Schmieder and Stefan Bender, 2012) Additional Results in Web Appendix "Does Wage Persistence Matter for Employment Fluctuations? Evidence from Displaced Workers" (joint with Johannes Schmieder, 2010, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, Lead Article) Web Appendix "Job Displacement and Mortality: An Analysis using Administrative Data" (joint with Daniel Sullivan, 2009, Quarterly Journal of Economics) (this is an updated version of NBER Working Paper No. 13626) PRESS COVERAGE New York Times (Front Page, February 2010) Trauma of Job Loss Often Includes Health Problems Boston Globe Worse Than Fired, September 2009 AARP Magazine Laid Off!, April 2009 Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC, December 2007) Laid-off workers face increased premature death risk "In the Right Place at the Wrong Time: The Role of Firms and Luck in Young Workers' Careers" (joint with Stefan Bender, 2006, American Economic Review) Downloadable Appendices Longer Working Paper Version (IZA Working Paper No. 1348) Applied MethodsProgram Evaluation "An Overview of Current Results and New Methods for Estimating Heterogeneous Program Impacts"(Lessons from SSA Demonstrations for Disability Policy and Future Research, 2021, Edited by Austin Nichols, Abt Associates; Jeffrey Hemmeter and Debra Goetz Engler, Chapter 7.) Program Evaluation "Social Experiments in the Labor Market" (Handbook of Field Experiments, joint with Jesse Rothstein, March 2017) Young Worker Career OutcomesState of the Literature "The Persistent Effects of Initial Labor Market Conditions for Young Adults and their Sources"(published Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2020) Cohort Effects from COVID-19 Pandemic "Lost Generations: Long-Term Effects of the Covid-19 Crisis on Job Losers and Labor Market Entrants and Policy Options" (published Fiscal Studies, 2020) Long-Term Recession Effects "Unlucky Cohorts: Estimating the Long-term Effects of Entering the Labor Market in a Recession in Large Cross-sectional Data Sets" (Journal of Labor Economics, joint with Hannes Schwandt, 2019) "BEST PAPER" AEJ: APPLIED "Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession" (American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, joint with Phil Oreopoulos and Andrew Heisz, 2012.) (this is an updated version of NBER Working Paper No. w12159) Additional Appendices as Part of IZA Discussion Paper No. 3578 PRESS COVERAGE Wall Street Journal, The Curse of the Class of 2009, May 2009 KQED/NPR "Forum", Job Prospects for College Grads, February 2009 New York Times, Hello Young Workers: One Way to Reach the Top is To Start There, May 2006 NBER Digest, The Career Effects Of Graduating In A Recession, November 2006 "Do Initial Conditions Persist Between Firms? An Analysis of Firm-Entry Cohort Effects and Job Losers using Matched Employer-Employee Data" (joint with Stefan Bender, published in S. Bender, J. Lane, K. Shaw, F. Andersson, and T. von Wachter (eds), "The Analysis of Firms and Employees: Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches", 2008, University Chicago Press) Older Workers, Mortality, Disability InsuranceMortality "The Failure of Life Expectancy to Fully Rebound to Prepandemic Levels"(Journal of the American Medical Association, joint with Hannes Schwandt, Janet Currie, Jonathan Kowarski, Derek Chapman, Steven H. Woolf, 2025) Pension Reform & Firm Outcomes "Workforce Aging, Pension Reforms, and Firm Outcomes" (Labour Economics, (joint with Francesca Carta and Francesco D'Amuri, 2025) Mortality "Changes in the Relationship Between Income and Life Expectancy Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic, California, 2015-2021" (Journal of American Medical Association (JAMA), 2022, joint with H.Schwandt, J.Currie, J.Kowarski, D.Chapman, S.H.Woolf, 328(4): 360-366.) Unemployment & Disability "Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance in the Great Recession" (Journal of Labor Economics, joint with Andreas Mueller and Jesse Rothstein, NBER Working Paper No. 19672, 2013. Updated 2014.) "Trends in Employment and Earnings of Allowed and Rejected Applicants to the Social Security Disability Insurance Program" (American Economic Review, joint with Jae Song and Joyce Manchester,2010) Additional Results in Web Appendix "Average Earnings and Long-Term Mortality: Evidence from Administrative Data" (joint with Daniel Sullivan, 2009, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings) Miscelaneous Papers"Following Germany's Lead: Using International Monetary Linkages to Identify the Effect of Monetary Policy on the Economy"(joint with Julian di Giovanni and Justin McCrary, 2009, Review of Economics and Statistics) (also available as IMF Working Paper WP/05/86 ) "Zero Returns to Compulsory Schooling in Germany: Evidence and Interpretation" (joint with Steve Pischke, 2008, Review of Economics and Statistics) (also available as NBER Working Paper No. 11414) |